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May31
Starmine Predicted Earnings Surprises - Interim Report

On April 12th I wrote a post on Starmine's predicted surprises.  All of the first quarter earnings are in so now we know if there were earning surprises in the direction predicted by Starmine.

Positive Predicted Surprises:

  • CELL (Brightpoint Inc) +$0.03 surprise - correct   Stock Price 4/12 $25.4167
  • CSX (CSX Corp)           +$0.19 surprise - correct    Stock Price 4/12 $64.87
  • GILD (Gilead Sciences Inc) +$0.02        - correct    Stock Price 4/12 $61.09
  • PD (Phelps Dodge Corp) -$0.28            -incorrect   Stock Price 4/12 $85.64
  • DRQ (Dril-Quip)                 +$0.23             -correct     Stock Price 4/12 $67.45

So for the positive surprises Starmine got 4 out of 5 correct.  Phelps Dodge suffered from having hedged some of their copper production and it cost them $1.46/share.

All prices are closing prices sourced from Bloomberg.  Earnings surprises are on a per share basis.

 

Predicted negative surprises:

  • TSN (Tyson Foods) -$0.27   - correct             Stock Price 4/12 $13.10
  • SNDA (Shanda interactive Entertainment) -Yuan 0.22 correct $13.12/ADR
  • RSH (Radio Shack Corp) -$0.11 - correct      Stock Price 4/12 $18.59
  • EMN (Eastman Chemical Co) -$0.15 - correct                   4/12 $50.89
  • FNF (Fidelity National Financial) +$0.02 -incorrect            4/12 $35.93

For the negative surprises Starmine also got 4 out of 5 correct. 

At the end of the second quarter we will check final results and see if the stock price moved in the direction of the earnings surprise.  Hold your breath!

Don't be confused, go out there and make some money.

 


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