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Nov25
More on Asset Allocation

The return on your overall portfolio will be the simple weighted average of the return streams you choose from the Betas and the Alphas or from the asset allocation decision and the choice of managers. It is important to understand that the return stream from Betas and from Alphas have very different characteristics. Ray Dalio from Bridgewater Associates writes in a memo titled “Engineering Targeted Returns and Risk dated January 10, 2003,

 “Betas (i.e., asset classes’ returns) are limited in number (i.e., there are not many viable asset classes), they are normally relatively correlated with each other and their excess returns (i.e., returns above cash) are relatively low relative to their excess risks (i.e., their Sharpe ratios are typically between 0.2 to 0.3). But they are reliable – i.e., we can be confidant that it will be profitable to hold them instead of cash, over long time horizons. 

Alphas (managers’ value-added), on the other hand, are plentiful, they are relatively uncorrelated with each other and their returns are unreliable – i.e., their risk-adjusted returns are slightly negative on average and the range around this slightly negative average is very large over long time horizons.



The risk-adjusted returns of alpha are slightly negative because a) value-added is zero-sum – i.e., in order for one manager to add value, another one must lose – and b) there are transactions costs. The range of risk-adjusted returns around this slight negative average is enormous because, in this zero-sum game, the smart managers will take money away from the dumb ones.

These characteristics of alpha make the rewards and penalties of a) choosing managers and b) balancing their alphas well or poorly, very large.

Unlike the returns that come from beta (i.e., holding asset classes), which you can be confident will be positive over time regardless of which you chose; the returns from alpha might not exist if you do not choose wisely. But, if you select well, you can create a much better portfolio of alphas than you can of betas because you have many more, less correlated and more attractive return streams to combine in an efficient portfolio."

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1 Comments/Trackbacks




Whoa. Back up for the financial challanged. Let's clarify alphas and betas. Betas are asset classes. Does that mean stocks and funds and bonds? Alpha's are manager value added. Does that mean the ability the manager has to buy and sell at the right time? Or does it mean the fees etc. that he charges? Can you simplify or give examples to let us know exactly what you mean? Thanks.

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